Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker III also suffered an oblique injury that will likely hold him out of this contest. The Seahawks’ offense is 21st in DVOA, and I’m not convinced they will be able to keep pace with the potent 49ers.
Brock Purdy since the Week 9 bye:
♦️ 629 passing yards
♦️ 6 TDs/0 INTs
♦️ 157.3 passer rating (1st)
— PFF (@PFF) November 20, 2023
On the other side, the San Francisco 49ers have strung together dominant back-to-back wins out of their bye. The Niners had struggled in the month of October, but they’re getting healthy at the right time. Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams are back and are proving to be game-changers for the 49ers’ No. 1-ranked offense in EPA/play.
Bronck Purdy just finished Week 11 with a perfect passer rating in San Francisco’s 27-14 win over Tampa Bay. The 49ers have dominated their opponents in games they have won this season. Last season, Purdy led the Niners to an eight-point win over the Seahawks on the road in his second career start.
A Primetime Over?
Sunday Night Football in Week 12 features two AFC teams that came into the season with Super Bowl aspirations, but only one has lived up to the expectations to this point. The Baltimore Ravens are traveling across the country to take on the Los Angeles Chargers and Justin Herbert in Week 12.
The trends don’t favor the over, but for this one, I’m throwing it all out of the window. In games with a home underdog, the under has hit 62% of the time. This season, primetime unders have gone 26-8, an 81% hit rate! So, why in the world do I want the over in Tinseltown next Sunday night?
The road team is the better team. The Ravens will have nine full days of rest and preparation for this matchup. Lamar Jackson is playing at an MVP level again. Baltimore has the best run game in the NFL, ranking first in rush success rate and EPA added per rush. The Chargers’ defense is awful. They are bottom five in explosive plays allowed, and the Ravens have the most explosive plays in the NFL this season.
— Pat McAfee (@PatMcAfeeShow) November 16, 2023
Chargers head coach Brandon Staley was angry with reporters after Sunday’s 23-20 loss to the Green Bay Packers. Jordan Love and the Packers’ offense have been terrible this season, and the Chargers allowed them to put 23 points on the board. What do you think Lamar Jackson will do to Staley’s defense?
The Ravens have scored at least 30 points in five straight games. Herbert and the Chargers’ offense will only help this total. They are a top team in red zone touchdown percentage. I expect this number to climb throughout the week, so it’s best to lock it in now.
NFL Pick: Chargers vs Ravens Over 46½
Questions Of The Day
Which young quarterbacks are poised to breakout and impact the NFL landscape, potentially offering intriguing betting opportunities?
The young quarterbacks who are poised to break out and impact the NFL are Chicago’s Justin Fields and Arizona’s Kyler Murray.
Which veteran players could surprise with a resurgence and provide value bets for astute bettors?
The veteran players who could surprise with a resurgence and provide betting value are Russell Wilson, Derek Carr, Matthew Stafford and Joe Mixon.