Eagles vs Chiefs Parlay: 9-1 SGP for Monday Night Football

Eagles vs Chiefs Parlay: 9-1 SGP for Monday Night Football

The most exciting primetime game is a Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs. This game may be a precursor to what we see again in this year’s title game as both teams sit atop their respective conferences.

These teams have had some moving parts since the Super Bowl but for the most part, they are the same. Following the lack of movement, we will assume a similarly competitive game that goes back and forth.

With a competitive game in mind, let’s dive into my Eagles vs. Chiefs same game parlay for Monday Night Football.

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Eagles vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay (+900 via DraftKings)

  • Alt Spread Eagles +3.5 (-148)
  • Alt Under 51.5 (-248)
  • Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer (-115)
  • A.J. Brown Over 6.5 receptions (-105)

The last game ended with a three-point difference. This game has a two-and-a-half-point spread. It costs little to buy the extra point and can provide significant value in a competitive game. Beyond the point buffer, The Eagles have covered at the highest rate in the NFL at 71.4% per TeamRankings.

Beyond the history of covering, the Eagles present a matchup problem for the Chiefs. Kansas City ranks 27th in yards per carry allowed and Philly has the third most rushing attempts in the NFL. Philadelphia has learned to lean on its run game and leverage its success in the passing game. Their rushing attack also has a unique feature thanks to the brotherly shove. That single play’s 90+%  success rate is why the Eagles can confidently go for any fourth and short.

The Eagles’ overall success on the year, as well as having an extra down to catch up, are the reasons why +3.5 should fit in excellently with our parlay.

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We already discussed the Eagles should focus on running as the ground game will play to their strength and attack the Chiefs’ weakness. 

The Chiefs will also likely be playing to an under because it is who they have been all year. Kansas City unders have hit in seven of nine games. The main cause has been the offense turning to more short-area throws. Patrick Mahomes has his lowest intended yards per attempt of any year in his career per pro-football-reference. This has led to long drives that burn the clock and shorten the game, leading to more unders.

The Eagles and the Chiefs will both have game plans playing to the under. However, the depth of explosive playmakers adds the risk that any play can turn into a touchdown. To protect us from a big play ruining our parlay we are buying a few points for some protection.

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Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer

This is a huge game and the Chiefs are coming off a bye. Andy Reid is excellent off a bye and the main reason is his ability to be creative offensively. He will have a play or two drawn up for his star playmaker in this massive game. If you don’t believe me, just look at Kelce’s stats in playoff games in recent years.

In the prior three postseasons, Kelce has played in nine playoff games and has 75+ yards in each and at least one touchdown in eight of nine games. Since this game will have a playoff atmosphere due to the pedigree of these teams heading into Monday night, we looked at playoff games to find an edge.

In the most meaningful games, the Chiefs lean on their star playmaker. I expect once again for Kelce to make his mark, especially with his brother on the other sideline.

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A.J. Brown Over 6.5 Receptions

A.J. Brown has steadily devalued the rest of the Eagles’ receiving options with his outstanding play this season. That is not a knock on Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert, but rather a nod to Brown’s stellar play. On the year, Brown already has 67 catches for 1,005 yards. 

Brown has had just two games with less than seven receptions. The counter take is that the Chiefs just limited Tyreek Hill, but the styles of Hill and Brown are very different. We have seen perfect defense mean absolutely nothing on Brown as his 6’ 1”, 227 lb frame is simply too much for corners when it comes to jump balls. After what Brown has shown, I expect Jalen Hurts to feed him regardless of how open he is.

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