By Watch the No. 5 seed Duke Blue Devils (27-8) take on the No. 4 seed Tennessee Volunteers (24-10) with a Sweet 16 spot in the East Region of the bracket on the line on Saturday at Amway Center.
The Blue Devils, who are favored by 3 points, are set to take on the Volunteers. The over/under for the matchup is 128.5.
Duke is 16-19-0 against the spread, while Tennessee’s ATS record this season is 17-17-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Blue Devils are 14-21-0 and the Volunteers are 14-20-0. The teams score an average of 144 points per game, 15.5 more points than this matchup’s total. Duke is 7-3 against the spread and 10-0 overall over its last 10 contests, while Tennessee has gone 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
Here is what you need to prepare for Saturday’s college basketball action.
Duke at Tennessee odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Duke -3
- Total: 128.5
- Moneyline: Duke -158, Tennessee +133
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Duke vs. Tennessee prediction
Tennessee 67, Duke 65
Moneyline
- Duke is 25-5 in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 83.3%).
- The Blue Devils have gone 20-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -158 or shorter (90.9% win percentage).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, Duke has an implied win probability of 61.2%.
- Tennessee has been listed as the underdog three times this season and have failed to win any of those games.
- The Volunteers have a record of 4-1 when they’re set as an underdog of +133 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 42.9% chance of a victory for Tennessee.
Against the spread
- Duke has covered 16 times in 35 games with a spread this season.
- Tennessee has put together a 17-17-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Blue Devils put up 14.7 more points per game (72.6) than the Volunteers give up (57.9).
- Duke has a 12-17 record against the spread and a 22-7 record overall when scoring more than 57.9 points.
- Tennessee is 16-11 against the spread and 22-5 overall when allowing fewer than 72.6 points.
- The Volunteers put up 7.8 more points per game (71.4) than the Blue Devils give up (63.6).
- Tennessee is 16-8 against the spread and 19-5 overall when it scores more than 63.6 points.
- Duke’s record is 11-12 against the spread and 21-2 overall when it gives up fewer than 71.4 points.
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Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Blue Devils this season is 75.1 points, 9.1 more points than their implied total of 66 points in Saturday’s game.
- So far this season, Duke has scored more than 66 points in a game 24 times.
- The 73.3-point average implied total on the season for the Volunteers is 10.3 more points than the team’s 63-point implied total in this matchup.
- This year, Tennessee has put up more than 63 points in 28 games.
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